DM
Desktop Metal, Inc. (DM)·Q1 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Mixed Q1: Revenue of $40.6M declined less than 2% YoY as macro CapEx pressures persisted; GAAP gross margin was -5.4% due to accelerated amortization/depreciation, but non-GAAP gross margin expanded to 30.5% and adjusted EBITDA loss improved 44% YoY to $(13.6)M .
- Cost actions continue to flow through: non-GAAP OpEx fell to $28.6M (nine straight quarters down); management reiterated confidence in reaching positive adjusted EBITDA in H2’24 .
- Strategy pivot: adding ~30 sales reps while exploring strategic alternatives for photopolymer assets to accelerate the path to profitability; recurring revenue mix hit a record 43% in Q1, underscoring installed base utilization .
- Guidance maintained: FY24 revenue $175–$215M and adjusted EBITDA $(30)M to $(10)M; H2 adjusted EBITDA positive reiterated—key potential stock catalyst as execution de-risks the profitability milestone .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Non-GAAP gross margin inflected to 30.5% (record Q1), up ~1,200 bps YoY; adjusted EBITDA loss improved to $(13.6)M, a $10.8M YoY improvement, reflecting cost discipline and mix benefits .
- Recurring revenue mix reached a record 43% of revenues, indicating rising utilization and stickier, higher-margin streams .
- Strategic focus: Management reaffirmed plan to be adjusted EBITDA positive in H2’24 and is reinvesting in go-to-market to drive double-digit growth as cycles normalize. “We are confident in achieving positive adjusted EBITDA in the second half of 2024” .
What Went Wrong
- Top line softness persisted: revenue fell slightly YoY to $40.6M, with GAAP gross margin negative due to one-time noncash charges tied to accelerated amortization/depreciation on certain intangible and fixed assets .
- Macro headwinds and elongated sales cycles continued to delay larger industrial purchases; management cited high cost of capital and lengthened cycles as demand friction .
- Cash draw continued (though improving): cash, cash equivalents and ST investments ended Q1 at $66.3M; operating cash outflow was $(17.4)M (improved vs $(37.3)M in Q1’23) .
Financial Results
Headline KPIs by quarter
Notes: Q4’23 press release bullet listed “Adjusted EBITDA of $9.2M” but reconciliation shows $(9.195)M; we rely on reconciliation .
Q1 year-over-year detail
Revenue mix (products vs services)
Cash flow and working capital (Q1)
Non-GAAP drivers: Q1 non-GAAP gross margin excludes stock comp, amortization of acquired intangibles, restructuring, and acquisition/integration costs; the period had significant amortization ($14.34M in cost of sales) and restructuring adjustments .
Guidance Changes
Desktop Metal did not provide non-GAAP gross margin guidance; CFO reiterated mid-30s non-GAAP gross margin potential at ~$50M quarterly revenue and cited 34% achieved on $52M in Q4 .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO on margin and profitability: “We have a record Q1 margin of 30.5%... We’re looking forward to crossing the adjusted EBITDA profitability threshold this year” .
- CEO on demand and GTM: “We’re not demand constrained... we’re adding an additional 30 reps around the world over the next few quarters” .
- CEO on recurring revenue: “Recurring revenues... reached a record 43% of revenues” .
- CFO on gross margin framework: “At ~$50M+ per quarter, we can be in the mid-30s non-GAAP gross margin” .
- CFO on guidance: “We are reiterating FY24 revenue of $175–$215M and adjusted EBITDA of $(30)M to $(10)M; H2’24 positive adjusted EBITDA” .
Q&A Highlights
- Gross margin trajectory: Management avoided explicit GM guidance but reiterated mid-30s potential at ~$50M quarterly revenue and referenced 34% in Q4 on $52M .
- OpEx path: Non-GAAP OpEx has not bottomed; more reductions expected even with targeted GTM investments .
- Metal powder bed and product portfolio: Direct metal/powder bed up ~9% in Q1; realigned sales resources by product; strong materials breadth (incl. reactives, refractories) and installed base .
- Go-to-market vs cost cuts: Adding capacity to offset longer cycles; aiming to return to double-digit growth as new hires mature .
- Seasonality: Expect Q2 > Q1, muted Q3, strongest Q4; cautious on magnitude given macro .
Estimates Context
- Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q1’24 revenue/EPS/EBITDA was unavailable via our S&P Global tool for this ticker at this time; therefore, we cannot present vs-consensus comparisons. Management did not provide quarterly guidance and avoided non-GAAP GM guidance, though reiterated the framework discussed above .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Margin quality improving: Non-GAAP gross margin at 30.5% and nine quarters of OpEx declines de-risk the H2’24 adjusted EBITDA positive target; upside levered to revenue acceleration back toward the ~$50M/quarter level .
- Reaffirmed FY24 outlook limits downside: Maintaining revenue and adjusted EBITDA ranges despite macro suggests cost discipline and visibility on cost-out benefits; execution on H2 profitability is the near-term catalyst .
- Mix shift to recurring: Record 43% recurring revenue indicates installed base health and higher-margin mix; this supports gross margin durability through cycles .
- Sales capacity adds: Hiring ~30 reps globally should expand coverage and shorten the time to close deals as cycles normalize, particularly in binder jet and digital casting—potential medium-term growth accelerant .
- Portfolio optimization: Ongoing strategic alternatives for photopolymers could streamline cash usage and sharpen focus on IP-centric, higher-margin production platforms—monitor for asset sales/partnerships .
- Watch cash runway and working capital conversion: Q1 operating cash outflow improved to $(17.4)M; inventory ($83.1M) and receivables ($35.4M) are targeted to convert over H1/H2; sustained improvement would extend runway .
- Trading implications: Near term, the stock should be sensitive to signs of Q2 sequential growth, incremental GM expansion, and tangible updates on photopolymer asset actions; H2 profitability confirmation is the main re-rating trigger .
Appendix: Non-GAAP Adjustments (Q1 2024)
- Notable non-GAAP add-backs include amortization of acquired intangibles ($21.0M total; $14.34M in cost of sales), restructuring ($3.0M), acquisition-related costs ($1.26M), and stock-based compensation ($7.84M). Management also noted incremental depreciation ($0.4M) and amortization ($11.2M) within restructuring for the Photopolymer Initiative .